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Quantitative research, forecasting models and stress-testing guides for anyone who wants to understand the numbers behind their mortgage.

Quantitative Research

Research

The Mathematics of Amortisation Curves

A derivation of the standard amortisation formula and how the interest/principal split evolves month by month.

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Research

Quantifying the Overpayment Compounding Effect

Why the timing of extra capital repayments matters more than the total amount overpaid.

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Research

LTV Risk-Weighting and Retail Rate Dispersion

How deposit size maps onto lender risk tiers and the resulting spread in headline mortgage rates.

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Bank Rate Forecasting Models

Forecasting

Reading Swap Rates as a Forward Indicator

Why fixed mortgage pricing often moves ahead of the Bank of England's actual decision.

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Forecasting

Tracker vs. Fixed: A Decision Framework

A structured way to weigh payment certainty against potential upside when choosing your next mortgage deal.

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Stress-Testing Guides

Stress Test

Modelling a +2% Rate Shock on Your Repayment

A step-by-step method for testing whether your budget could absorb reverting to a much higher rate.

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Stress Test

SDLT Budgeting for First-Time Buyers

How to estimate your total upfront cash requirement including Stamp Duty before making an offer.

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Stress Test

Interest-Only Repayment Vehicle Checklist

Key questions to ask before relying on an interest-only structure, and how to verify your repayment vehicle stays on track.

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Educational Modelling Notice

All Resource Center content is educational and does not constitute regulated financial advice. See our full Financial Disclaimer.